Welcome to The Bet Club and an exciting weekend in Major League Baseball. Today, we have some thrilling matchups on the schedule, including Braves vs. Rays, Cubs vs. Yankees, and Mets vs. Padres. In this article, we’ll dive into my MLB best bets for Saturday, July 8, 2023. Make sure to also check out our MLB picks and parlay for today’s games.
MLB Best Bets 07-08-23: Backing a 7-1 Trend in San Diego
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-118) over Oakland Athletics
Our first best bet features the Boston Red Sox as they take on the Oakland Athletics. James Paxton, the reigning Pitcher of the Month in June, will make his first start for the Red Sox. Paxton has been a pleasant surprise this season, boasting a 2.70 ERA and a 3.28 xERA in his 9 starts. He had an exceptional June, going 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP. Paxton’s last start against the Blue Jays was outstanding, and now, returning from the paternity list, he brings extra rest and motivation to the mound. The Athletics have struggled against left-handed pitching with a league-worst 64 wRC+ in the past 30 days. With Paxton’s recent success and the Athletics’ offensive struggles, backing the Red Sox on the run line seems like a smart play.
San Diego Padres F5 -0.5 (-130) over New York Mets
Our second best bet focuses on the San Diego Padres as they face the New York Mets. The Padres’ offense has been on fire recently, averaging an impressive 7.17 runs per game in July. They’ll be up against David Peterson of the Mets, who has struggled to maintain a spot in the rotation. Peterson’s recent performances against weaker offenses do not inspire confidence, and the Padres’ lineup has been taking advantage of any weaknesses they come across. On the pitching side, Blake Snell has been exceptional, allowing only 4 earned runs in his last 47 innings. In fact, the Padres have won the first 5 innings in 7 out of Snell’s last 8 starts. With the Padres’ offensive firepower and Snell’s dominance, they should be able to secure a lead in the first 5 innings against a struggling Mets lineup.
MLB Best Bets Saturday: YRFI & NRFI Picks
In this section, we’ll present two YRFI/NRFI best bets for Saturday’s MLB games. The YRFI/NRFI (whether a run will be scored in the first inning) is a popular and quick betting market that offers intriguing opportunities for bettors.
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros: NRFI (-135)
In the AL West matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, we’re backing the NRFI. Despite the Mariners’ overall underachievement this season, their pitching staff has been a strong point. Bryan Woo, in particular, has been impressive, showcasing top-tier statistics in strikeout rate, expected batting average (xBA), and expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA) among all starters. His xERA of 2.72 indicates that he has been unlucky so far this season. On the Astros’ side, Framber Valdez has been equally effective, boasting a 2.49 ERA and excellent career numbers against the Mariners’ lineup. With two talented pitchers on the mound, we can expect a low-scoring affair in this game.
Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees: NRFI (-120)
In the interleague matchup between the Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium, we’re once again going with the NRFI. The absence of Aaron Judge has had an impact on the Yankees’ lineup, and their power has been somewhat diminished. On the pitching side, Drew Smyly of the Cubs excels at limiting hard contact, ranking within the top 18 percentile of all starters in average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage. Considering that Josh Donaldson has the best numbers against Smyly among the Yankees, we expect a scoreless first inning. Meanwhile, Gerrit Cole is projected to continue his strong season for the Yankees, facing a Cubs lineup that ranks 21st in slugging percentage (SLG) and 17th in on-base plus slugging percentage (OPS). With two talented pitchers and offensive struggles on both sides, it’s reasonable to anticipate a scoreless start to the game.
Saturday’s MLB games offer exciting opportunities for betting. For today’s MLB best bets, we’re favoring the Boston Red Sox on the run line as James Paxton returns from the paternity list to face the struggling Athletics. Additionally, we’re backing the San Diego Padres in the first 5 innings against the New York Mets, with Blake Snell expected to continue his outstanding form.
Don’t forget to check out our YRFI/NRFI picks for the Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros and Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees matchups. These quick betting markets provide additional chances to make informed wagers.
These are our experts most confident picks, so bet responsibly and best of luck with your bets today and enjoy the thrilling MLB action on this Saturday!
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