MLB Best Bets 07-21-2023: Expert Bets
Welcome back to USA Best Bets on 07-21-2023 and another day filled with MLB Baseball action! Yesterday was a hit, as we went 2-0 and look to extend the Streak to 4-0 today! So we’re back with two more MLB best bets to continue the winning way. Before we dive into our picks, don’t forget to explore our MLB predictions for all the games on today’s schedule.
MLB Bet: San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigers F3 Under 2.5 (+100)
In this matchup, we’re targeting the first 3 innings, where we expect the scoring to be low. The Padres’ offense struggled against strong pitchers like Chris Bassitt, and facing rookie Reese Olson could lead to similar challenges. Olson has shown improvement, allowing just 3 runs and 8 hits in his last 12.1 innings. Focusing on innings 1-3, Olson boasts a 1.93 ERA and holds hitters to a .206 batting average.
On the other side, Seth Lugo, although no longer a reliever, still possesses reliever qualities. Opponents have a .202 batting average in their first at-bat and a .318 average in the second time through against him. By targeting the first 3 innings, we expect Lugo to have the upper hand early on, facing a young Detroit lineup that has struggled in the second half of the season. Between underrated pitchers and underperforming offenses, we’re backing the first 3 innings to stay under the total.
Don’t miss out on our MLB YRFI/NRFI best bets, where we’ve been on a fantastic 6-2 run!
MLB Bet: Minnesota Twins ML (-155) over Chicago White Sox
Believe it or not, the Twins have the second-best offense in baseball since the All-Star break, boasting a 141 wRC+. Despite getting shut out on Thursday, Minnesota’s lineup has been on fire, hitting .271 with a .358 on-base percentage and .872 OPS in the second half of the season. Facing Lance Lynn, who has been inconsistent, the Twins should have an opportunity to continue their offensive surge.
On the pitching side, Joe Ryan is an exceptional young talent with a 3.77 ERA and an even more impressive 2.99 xERA in 19 starts. Striking out nearly 30% of hitters, Ryan’s advanced metrics back up his exceptional season. Notably, Ryan excels at home, where he holds hitters to a .200 batting average, .231 on-base percentage, and .538 OPS in 9 starts at Target Field.
Given the disrespectful line to Joe Ryan, we see value in picking the Twins at -155.
Lock in my +910 MLB parlay for today’s action
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