Welcome to today’s exciting full slate of MLB baseball and our USA Bet Bet Picks Expert Analysis and Predictions for 05-05-2023. Our expert MLB betting picks team had a great day yesterday, going 3-1 on their best bets. In addition, the YRFI/NRFI best bets went 2-0, making it a 6-0 run for the week. We have a full slate of games with expert picks, best bets, free picks and parlays on the full betting schedule including Best Bet MLB Today 05-05-2023: Picks and Parlay today 05-05-2023, so let’s bet better together as we prepare to hit another homer.
Friday’s MLB Slate: Matchups to Watch
Friday’s MLB slate features some exciting matchups, including a highly anticipated game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres out west. With so many games to choose from, be sure to check out our expert picks, which include our red-hot YRFI/NRFI best bets, best bet of the day, and a +780 MLB mega parlay.
NRFI Best Bets for Today Friday 05-05-2023: Pitchers’ Duel in Seattle
With a packed MLB schedule every day, one of the quickest bets you can make is whether a run will be scored in the first inning. This market has become very popular over time and there is value to be had. Our YRFI/NRFI picks have been hot lately, going 14-3-1, so let’s keep the momentum going.
Best MLB Bets: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: NRFI Pick (-130)
This game features a matchup between two teams playing below their expectations this season. However, both starting pitchers are expected to perform well in this one. For the Mariners, Luis Castillo has been pitching at an ace level, with an ERA of 1.82 and just 7 earned runs allowed on the season. Although the Astros offense is traditionally a power in the American League, they have struggled with inconsistency this season, especially on the road. Meanwhile, Cristian Javier, the Astros starter, has had four quality starts in his last five outings and appears to be trending up heading into this matchup. While we do have to eat some juice for this wager, we believe it’s a worthwhile trade-off in this spot.
Best MLB Bets: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: NRFI Pick (-110)
The Dodgers and Padres are expected to battle at the top of the NL West all season long, and we can expect both starting pitchers to set the tone on Friday. Clayton Kershaw has been having another excellent season, with a 1.90 ERA and outstanding xWOBA, xERA, chase rate, and walk rate over his first six starts. While the Dodgers offense has seemingly found life over the past week, including a 36-run outburst over the last three games against the Phillies, we’re expecting some regression for Los Angeles on the road against a much better opponent. Joe Musgrove, the Padres starter, has an ERA of 10.80, but his xERA sits at 3.82, so positive regression is expected on that front. He may get knocked around later in the contest, but we’re backing a quick start from Musgrove in this rivalry matchup.
Best Bet in MLB Baseball for Today: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Totals Pick Under 7 (-105)
Our best bet in baseball for today is the Totals Under expert pick in the Astros vs. Mariners game. Luis Castillo has been one of our favorite pitchers to bet on, dating back to last season. In five starts at T-Mobile Park, Castillo was 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.758 WHIP. In his four starts this season in Seattle, Castillo has a 2-0 record, a 1.14 ERA, and a 0.676 WHIP. So in his nine starts at home since being acquired by the Mariners, Castillo has limited hitters to a .153 batting average with So in 9 starts at home since being acquired by Mariners, Castillo has limited hitters to a .153 batting average with a .409 OPS. The MLB experts Totals Under Pick is 5-3-1 in that 9-game span with an average of just 6.89 runs scored.
Don’t forget to check out our MLB Friday parlay +780 odds today 5/5: Mets bounce back.
Expert Picks: 3 x MLB Bets for Today’s Parlay +780
Today’s 15-game slate offers plenty of opportunities for MLB bettors, and our team at USA Best Bet has identified three exciting baseball picks that combine for a +780 payout at KasinoBets Sportsbook. Check out our free expert MLB picks for all of today’s games, but for now, let’s dive into our MLB parlay for today.
Expert Picks #1 and #2 free MLB Picks and Parlay: New York Mets Over 4.5 and Money Line (+100)
To start off our mega parlay, we’re backing the New York Mets to score over 4.5 runs and win the game against the Colorado Rockies. This is a must-win situation for the Mets, who have lost nine of their last 11 games and now sit at 16-16 for the season after a hot start. The Mets are back home after a disappointing loss to the lowly Tigers, and we expect them to bounce back against the Rockies at Citi Field.
This leg is purely a fade of Colorado starter Antonio Senzatela, who has been struggling this season with an xERA of 5.24 and ranking in the bottom 5 percentile of all qualified pitchers in xBA, xWOBA, strikeout percentage, and chase rate. The Mets’ offense should dominate this matchup, making the team total and money line combination the recommended play for some extra value.
Expert Pick #3 free MLB Picks and Parlay: Milwaukee Brewers ATS Run Line -1.5 (+120)
For the second leg of our parlay, we’re backing the Milwaukee Brewers on the run line. Corbin Burns has had a shaky start to his 2023 campaign, but the Brewers’ ace has started to look like himself again in recent weeks. In his last four starts, Burns has given up just five earned runs in 24.1 innings pitched.
Burns will face a San Francisco offense that has struggled with inconsistency in the 2023 campaign, ranking 17th in runs scored and on-base percentage while sitting at 20th in total hits. The Milwaukee offense should also see a favorable matchup on the mound in Sean Manaea, who has been struggling this season with an 8.20 xERA and poor metrics across the board.
If Burns can pitch six more quality innings, we’re expecting a routine victory from the Brewers on Friday.
Expert Pick #4 free MLB Picks and Parlay: Los Angeles Dodgers first 5 innings ATS Run Line -0.5 (+110)
For the final leg of our mega parlay, we’re backing the Los Angeles Dodgers to win the first 5 innings against the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers have caught fire over the last week, winning six straight games over the Cardinals and Phillies, in large part due to an offensive explosion.
The Dodgers have finally found their rhythm at the plate, including a 36-run outburst over the last three games against the Phillies. Furthermore, Los Angeles will have Clayton Kershaw on the mound, who has been outstanding in 2023 with a 1.90 ERA and impressive xWOBA, xERA, chase rate, and walk rate.
We expect Kershaw to continue his dominant form against a familiar foe in the Padres, at least in the first five innings. We’re avoiding the bullpens in this matchup, so give us the Dodgers on the first 5 innings run line for some added value.
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MLB Best Bet Picks Conclusion
By utilizing Best Bet in MLB Today 05-05-2023 free Picks and Parlay by the experts and follow the strategies outlined above, then you too can enhance your baseball betting success. With expert analysis and valuable insights, you can identify favorable opportunities, and get the edge for profitable bets and turn your sports knowledge into winnings.
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