Best Bet NBA 05-12-2023: Free Picks and Parlay


Welcome to today’s USA Best Bet in NBA Basketball, featuring expert free NBA Playoff betting picks and parlays for the biggest games tonight. We are thrilled to present our top picks for Friday’s NBA games, including the Miami Heat and Los Angeles Lakers’ quest to clinch at home and avoid a Game 7. Our primary focus will be on the Knicks vs Heat game, which begins at 7:30 pm ET on ESPN.
Our NBA best bet of the day will be followed by a same game parlay for the Knicks vs Heat matchup.
Best Bet Tonight in NBA: Miami Heat ATS Pick -4.5
Despite dominating most of the series with their strong performances on both offense and defense, the Miami Heat were unable to secure a win on the road due to their inferior shooting from beyond the arc.
However, the Heat can take solace in the fact that their bench outperformed the Knicks for much of the game, and coach Erik Spoelstra continued to draw up open shots. Although the difference between the teams was the inability to convert those open looks, this is unlikely to persist as Miami returns home for Game 6.
Expert Best Bet NBA Pick Today: With an average margin of victory of 10.9 points in their playoff wins, the Heat are well-positioned to close out the series.
NBA Knicks vs Heat Same Game Picks and Parlay for Today: For Knicks it’s the end of the Road? +512 Odds
The Knicks avoided elimination with a big win in Game 5, but now face a tough task on the road in Miami for Game 6. Our experts believe the Heat will advance to their third Conference Finals in four seasons. We have prepared another Same Game Parlay for this matchup, hoping to replicate our success from Game 5 with a +516 odds win. Let’s jump into it!
#1 Free NBA Pick and Parlay: Miami Heat Money Line (-210)
Miami suffered a loss in Game 5 after being outshot from the 3-point line by the Knicks and taking fewer free throws. However, with the series returning to the Kaseya Center where the Heat remain undefeated in these playoffs, they have a good chance to close it out. They have a superior team and are expected to bounce back with Playoff Jimmy leading the way. The Heat have shot 36.0% from 3 in their building during the 2023 playoffs, and they have a strong record against the Knicks at home, going 9-2 SU in their last 11 games. Additionally, the Heat have covered the spread in their last 5 games in this arena, and their average margin of victory in playoff wins is 10.9 points.
Expert NBA Pick Today: We’re confident in the Heat’s ability to close out the series.
#2 Free NBA Pick and Parlay: Jimmy Butler Prop Bet to Record 8+ Rebounds (+135)
Jimmy Butler has a history of performing well in potential close-out games, with 17 such games in his career. In the last 7 of these games with the Miami Heat, he has averaged 7.4 rebounds per game and has surpassed the line in 5 of them. Butler’s effort is unmatched, and he consistently gives his all in crucial games like this. He came very close to reaching the rebounding line in the last game, with 8 rebounds, which was his second-highest total for the series. Butler’s overall rebounding average for this series is 7 per game, and in the close-out Game 5 of the first round against Milwaukee, he had 8 rebounds.
Expert NBA Pick Today: Given the anticipated defensive effort from both teams in what is likely to be an ugly game, Butler has a good chance of getting to 8 rebounds.
#3 Free NBA Pick and Parlay: Kyle Lowry Prop Bet over 4.5 Assists (+106)
Kyle Lowry has been exceptionally careful with the ball, committing only one turnover per game in the series, and none in both Miami games. When it comes to crucial games like these, you want your most reliable players to handle the ball, and Lowry, alongside Butler, is undoubtedly one of Miami’s go-to players. Despite being 37 years old, the veteran point guard has been dishing out an average of 5 assists per game in the series, with 5 or more in three out of the five games played. He has also been consistent against the Knicks, averaging 5.9 assists per game in his 43 career games against them.
Expert NBA Pick Today: While he may not be in his prime anymore, Lowry still has plenty of gas left in the tank.
Free NBA Expert Playoff Picks and Parlay Conclusion
Heading into Game 6 of the NBA playoffs between the New York Knicks and the Miami Heat, the Heat are heavily favored to clinch their spot in the Conference Finals, boasting an undefeated home record in these playoffs. Our Best Bet for this game is the Miami Heat ATS Pick, and we also have a Same Game Parlay that includes the Miami Heat Money Line pick and two prop bets for Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry. While closing out a series is never a simple task, we’re confident in our picks and anticipate another thrilling game of NBA playoffs. For those who want to increase the potential payout odds (and risk of course), our best bet pick for tonight is a solid option instead of the Money Line or one of the other parlay picks.
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NBA Best Bet Free Play off Picks and Parlay 05-12-2023
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