Welcome to USA Best Bet for UFC 290. This exciting sports event is set to take place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the feature being a featherweight title fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Yair Rodriguez as the main event, along with a flyweight title fight between Brandon Moreno and Alexandre Pantoja as the co-main event. Let’s dive into our best bets for the event.
UFC 290 Main Card Best Bets
Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (+110)
In this title fight, Alexander Volkanovski is the heavy favorite, but rather than risking it with his money line, it seems more likely that the fight will go the distance. Volkanovski has seen six of his last seven UFC fights go the full distance, while Yair Rodriguez has only suffered two finishes in his career and none since 2017. Both fighters have durable chins, so despite the high pace, it’s likely that the fight will go all five rounds.
Brandon Moreno vs Alexandre Pantoja – Fight to go the Distance – No (-115)
While Brandon Moreno is the favorite in this fight, the likelihood of it ending inside the distance seems higher. Both fighters have seen three of their last five UFC fights conclude with a finish, including their last two fights each. Considering their recent performances, backing the fight to not go the distance appears to be the top play for this flyweight title bout.
UFC 290 Preliminary Card Best Bet
Robbie Lawler vs Niko Price – Over 1.5 Rounds (-135)
Niko Price is favored in this matchup, but due to the inconsistency of both fighters, it’s safer to focus on the over/under. Price has seen his last five UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Robbie Lawler has experienced the same in three of his last four fights. Based on their recent records, it’s reasonable to expect this fight to last beyond the first round and a half.
UFC 290: Alexander Volkanovski vs Yair Rodriguez Parlay Picks (+384 odds)
Jalin Turner Win by Finish over Dan Hooker (-165)
Jalin Turner holds a 13-6 MMA record and has a significant striking rate of 5.63 per minute. While he lost his recent fight, he has finished all his previous wins. With Dan Hooker’s inconsistent performances, backing Turner to win by finish seems like the right choice.
Bo Nickal Win by Submission over Val Woodburn (-225)
Bo Nickal has an unbeaten MMA record of 4-0, with three of his wins coming by submission. With his strong grappling skills and the history of his previous fights, it’s reasonable to expect Nickal to secure another submission victory in this match.
Tatsuro Taira Win by Submission over Edgar Chairez (-225)
Tatsuro Taira boasts an undefeated MMA record of 13-0, with seven of his wins coming by submission. Considering his impressive submission rate, it’s likely that Taira will continue his trend and secure a victory by submission against Edgar Chairez.
Vitor Petrino ML over Marcin Prachnio (-225)
Vitor Petrino holds an undefeated MMA record of 8-0 and has shown no weaknesses thus far. With superior grappling ability and solid striking statistics, Petrino appears to be a safe bet to win this fight.
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