MLB Best Bet 06-12-2023: Expert Picks Today
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Best Bet MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays vs Oakland Athletics – NRFI (-125)
Expert Sports Pick Reasoning: Despite having the worst record in baseball, the Oakland Athletics have been showing signs of improvement with two consecutive series wins and a five-game winning streak, boasting a +19 run differential. However, tonight they face a formidable challenge against the Tampa Bay Rays, the best team in baseball. The Rays have been on a winning streak of their own, going 8-1 in their last nine games. A key factor in their success has been their outstanding pitching. The Rays’ starting rotation has held opponents to a remarkable 2.36 ERA over the past nine games, never allowing more than four runs in a single game.
Taking the mound for the Rays is Zach Eflin, who has been exceptional in his 11 starts, maintaining a 2.97 ERA and a career-best 0.96 WHIP. Eflin has been particularly effective in the 1st inning, recording eight scoreless starts. He possesses excellent control, evident from his low 3.5% walk rate. Given his impressive performance thus far, I believe Eflin has a strong chance of keeping the Athletics’ lineup quiet in the opening inning.
The Athletics will counter with James Kaprielian, who has experience both as a starter and in relief. After a rough start to the season, Kaprielian was moved to the bullpen, and since returning to the rotation, he has delivered solid performances, posting a 3.90 ERA across five starts. Although his 12.9% walk rate raises some concern, we only need him to deliver a solid 1st inning. I anticipate a scoreless opening inning in Oakland.
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