MLB Best Bet 06-22-2023: Expert Picks Today
Welcome to USA Best Bet and our Expert MLB Picks on June 22, 2023, where we provide expert picks and wagering analysis for MLB baseball betting. Let’s take a look at our latest MLB Baseball best bet picks and prop bet for today’s games.
Best Bet MLB
Best Bet MLB Today 06-22-2023: Under 4.5 Runs in First 5 Innings of Mariners vs Yankees (-140)
MLB Expert Pick Analysis:
The Mariners take on the Yankees at Yankee Stadium, where the home team will aim for a sweep. Domingo German gets the start for New York, and he has shown better performance at home this season. With a 2.92 ERA and a low opponent batting average of .172 in the Bronx, German has been effective. Despite allowing a few home runs, the Mariners have hit the fifth-fewest home runs on the road this season, suggesting that German should be able to contain their offense.
Seattle’s Bryan Woo takes the mound, and while his numbers may not be impressive, he has shown promise. In his first three starts, Woo has struck out an impressive 20 batters in just 12.1 innings pitched. Although his first two starts against challenging teams like the Rangers and Angels didn’t go well, he had a stronger outing against the White Sox, demonstrating his ability to limit hits and runs.
Furthermore, the Yankees have struggled against left-handed pitchers at home, ranking second-to-last in batting average and in the bottom five for slugging percentage. They also have a high strikeout percentage, indicating potential difficulties against Woo’s left-handed pitching.
Conclusion
Considering Domingo German’s effectiveness at home and the Yankees’ struggles against left-handed pitching, we believe the first 5 innings of this game will see fewer than 4.5 runs. Trusting the pitchers’ abilities and the offensive limitations of both teams, let’s place our bet on the under. Good luck!
Best MLB Player Prop Bet: Samad Taylor (KC) Under 0.5 Hits (-110)
MLB Expert Pick Analysis:
Samad Taylor, the #21 prospect for the Royals, had an emotional start in MLB with a walk-off hit in his debut. He has recorded hits in three out of his four games in the big leagues, which presents an opportunity to sell high and find value in this prop bet. However, Taylor’s performance thus far suggests that he may struggle tonight.
In his 12 batted ball events, Taylor has only hit the ball hard twice. Moreover, he faces a tough matchup against Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan, one of the sport’s formidable pitchers. McClanahan boasts an impressive 2.12 ERA, 3.89 SIERA, and 3.70 xFIP this season. His numbers improve at home (2.88 xFIP) and against right-handed hitters (3.60 xFIP), which poses a significant challenge for Taylor.
McClanahan utilizes a mix of four-seamers, sliders, changeups, and curveballs against right-handers like Taylor. So far, Taylor hasn’t demonstrated readiness for this level of competition, especially against the aforementioned pitch types. His expected batting average remains below .200 against all three pitches.
Considering Tampa Bay’s status as a heavy favorite in this game, despite a low Vegas total of 7.5 runs, the bookmakers aren’t anticipating much offense from Kansas City. It is prudent to fade one of their weaker bats, particularly in a scenario where Taylor’s playing time and plate appearances might be at risk if the game becomes closely contested and necessitates a pinch-hit substitution.
Conclusion:
Given Samad Taylor’s limited success against tough pitching and the expectations for a low-scoring game, we recommend betting on him to record under 0.5 hits. This presents an opportunity to capitalize on the current odds and the unfavorable matchup. Good luck with your wagers tonight!
Feeling Lucky Tonight? Why Not MLB Parlay Bet
If you’re looking for a little more upside on these bets, consider a 2-leg MLB Parlay Bet for tonight’s action. Both picks are solid 3-star MLB Best Bet selections. However, remember that more odds generally mean more risk, so bet responsibly and enjoy the game.
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