MLB Free Picks and Parlay 07-16-2023: Expert Bet Tigers, Diamondbacks and Cubs

MLB 2023 Baseball Schedule, Betting Strategy, Tips and Advice.

Welcome to our MLB betting report for Sunday’s action, where we have crafted a 3-team parlay with a payout at +1437 odds at Sportsbook. Let’s dive right into the selections and predictions for this thrilling Sunday!

Expert MLB Parlay Bet Picks

  1. Detroit Tigers ML (+176) over Seattle Mariners

The Detroit Tigers have been displaying a solid performance, sitting just 5.5 games out of first place in the AL Central, aiming for a second-half surge for the division title. In the Pacific Northwest, we’ll witness a rookie vs. rookie pitching duel as Reese Olson takes on Bryce Miller. While Miller impressed initially with three shutouts in his first five outings, he has faced some struggles in recent weeks, especially with homers and extra-base hits becoming problematic.

On the other hand, Olson, Detroit’s #11 overall prospect, has made a significant impact in his first season. Although his 4.05 ERA might not be overly impressive, his 3.46 FIP and 3.65 xERA indicate that he’s been somewhat unlucky in the 33.1 innings pitched. Olson’s ability to limit hitters to a .220 xBA and maintain a 26.1% strikeout rate bodes well for his performance against the inconsistent Mariners offense. At attractive odds, taking a risk on the Tigers is worthwhile.

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks ML (+138) over Toronto Blue Jays

Tommy Henry of the Diamondbacks is evolving into the pitcher they’ve envisioned him to be. After a relatively mediocre start, Henry has allowed two runs or less in four consecutive starts leading up to the break. His control has improved, resulting in fewer walks and limited extra-base hits – all essential aspects of a reliable pitcher. Henry’s recent performances suggest he’s on the right track and ready to face the powerful Blue Jays offense.

While Toronto’s batting lineup is exceptional, their Achilles’ heel lies in their pitching staff. Although Kevin Gausman and Chris Bassitt provide an excellent 1-2 punch, there’s inconsistency beyond them. Yusei Kikuchi, in particular, has decent numbers with a 4.24 ERA, but his advanced metrics reveal that when he gets hit, he gets hit hard. This vulnerability might be capitalized on by the Diamondbacks, offering excellent value at plus odds for the series finale.

  1. Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+134) over Boston Red Sox

In this rubber match of the 3-game series, an exciting pitching matchup awaits with Kutter Crawford taking the mound for the Red Sox and Justin Steele for the Cubs. Crawford joined Boston’s starting rotation in June and has been a decent replacement for Chris Sale and Garrett Whitlock. However, his numbers don’t boast much impressiveness, as he holds a 5.45 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in nine starts. Crawford’s tendency to leave fastballs over the plate makes him susceptible to being hit hard.

On the other hand, Justin Steele has been an underappreciated and undervalued gem, boasting a remarkable 2.56 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 16 starts during the first half of the season. In the majority of his starts, Steele allowed just one run or less, indicating his consistency and reliability on the mound. What makes him even more dangerous in this matchup is his extended rest, having not thrown more than one inning in over ten days. Chicago holds a significant pitching advantage, making the Cubs the favored pick to win the series on Sunday.


With a thrilling Sunday slate of MLB action ahead, the parlay featuring the Tigers, Diamondbacks, and Cubs presents an enticing opportunity to capitalize on exciting matchups and potentially walk away with significant returns. Enjoy the games and best of luck with your wagers! Be sure to check out our latest MLB Prop Bets, MLB Parlays, and MLB Best Bets from our experts in The Bet Clubhouse.

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