MLB Picks and Parlay 06-30-2023: Best Bet Expert
Welcome to USA Best Bet and our experts Major League Baseball Picks for 06-30-2023. Our experts have provided a Best MLB Bet for Today and also a 3 leg Picks to combine for the Parlay.
MLB experts rack up wins
It was another successful night for our MLB expert analysts at USA Best Bet. We cashed in on our lone 5-star bet, went 2-0 on our YRFI/NRFI plays, and compiled a 2-0-1 record with the three best bets of the day. The winning streak continues as we dive into the action for today.
A full 15-game schedule in Major League Baseball
Major League Baseball takes center stage with a full 15-game schedule on Friday. While the NFL, NBA, and NHL are currently on a break, baseball continues to provide thrilling sports action. Among the games, there are two contests on Apple TV: Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh followed by Arizona vs. the Angels.
MLB Best Bet Today
MLB: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets: NRFI (-108)
Our best bet for today’s action features the San Francisco Giants facing the New York Mets. The Mets have been a prime candidate for an NRFI bet, as they rank last in Major League Baseball in first-inning runs scored, averaging a meager 0.28 runs per game. The Giants’ pitcher, Alex Cobb, has been impressive with a 5-2 record, a 3.09 ERA, and 76 strikeouts in 78.2 innings this season. Cobb has kept the first inning scoreless in eight of his last ten appearances. On the other side, the Mets’ Carlos Carrasco has had a mixed season but has managed to pitch clean opening frames in three out of his last five starts. Considering these factors, we expect a scoreless first inning in this matchup.
MLB Free Picks and Parlay
In addition to the Giants vs. Mets game, there are other intriguing matchups to consider. Below is our MLB mega parlay, and don’t forget to explore all of our MLB picks, including our YRFI/NRFI best bets.
MLB Expert Picks:
- Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+160)
- Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+105)
- Houston Astros ML (+150)
MLB Parlay odds: +1233
For this parlay, we have selected two favorites on the run line and one underdog on the money line. Let’s break down each of the three legs.
MLB: Minnesota Twins -1.5 over Baltimore Orioles (+160)
In this game, we have two pitchers whose results don’t align with their underlying metrics. Pablo Lopez of the Twins should be performing better than his 4.41 ERA suggests. He ranks fourth in Major League Baseball in strikeouts and is expected to have a lower ERA based on advanced metrics. On the other hand, Dean Kremer of the Orioles has a 4.50 ERA but should be giving up more runs according to metrics. With the Twins’ better bullpen and a lineup that poses a significant threat, we anticipate the Twins having the edge in this matchup.
MLB: Atlanta Braves -1.5 over Miami Marlins (+105)
The Atlanta Braves have been on fire, winning 20 out of their last 23 games. They hold the best overall record in the National League by a wide margin. Against anyone other than an ace, we would back the Braves to win and cover almost any run line. The Marlins are not sending their ace to the mound, and Bryan Hoeing, who is expected to start, has primarily been used in relief. This game is likely to be more of a bullpen effort for the Marlins, and it’s challenging to see them piecing together enough quality innings against one of the best lineups in baseball. The Braves’ Michael Soroka, who has been effective in the minors, should be ready for his second go-around in the big leagues this season.
MLB: Houston Astros ML over Texas Rangers (+150)
The defending World Series champions trail the Texas Rangers by 5 games in the AL West, making this series crucial for the Astros. Houston has a good chance to close the gap in this game. They will rely on Ronel Blanco, a converted bullpen arm, who has performed well in his four starts, allowing a manageable number of runs each time. With a strong offense backing him up, Blanco’s performance should be sufficient against the Rangers. Although Jon Gray is a stellar pitcher for Texas, if the Astros can get to him and work the pitch count, they can expose the Rangers’ bullpen, which is not their strong suit. As a big underdog, the Astros offer great value.
Good luck with your wagers, and let’s continue the winning streak in Major League Baseball!
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