MLB Picks and Parlay 07-04-2023: Expert Bet +738: Pitcher’s Duel in Milwaukee


Welcome to USA Best Bet! With a full slate of Major League Baseball games taking place on Wednesday, there’s plenty of value for our expert picks to be found. Our expert MLB team betting analyst started the week in the same hot form they finished. Cashing both Friday +723 and then our Monday MLB parlay at +529 odds due to Marlins, Braves and Padres. In other games, the Astros and Rangers went a little early with the 4th of July fireworks as Houston came home with a wet sail to win 12-11 after trailing by 8-runs! The Yankees also produced a big hitting finish to beat the Orioles 6-3, and we watched the Braves win 4-2 against the Guardians for their 9th straight victory.
Today, we have compiled an expert parlay bet consisting of three picks with a +738 payout at KasinoBets.com Sportsbook. Its 4th of July and plenty of betting fireworks options – which is pretty much the best we could ask for. So let’s get into our free picks and parlay and celebrate our next MLB bet together!
Expert MLB Picks and Parlay
- Cubs vs Brewers Under 8.5 (-110)
- Dodgers Alternate Run Line -2.5 (+130)
- Reds vs Nationals Over 9.5 (-110)
MLB Parlay Odds: +738
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Under 8.5 (-110) MLB
In this NL Central clash between the Cubs and Brewers, we anticipate a low-scoring affair. The starting pitching matchup may not be familiar to casual fans, but it features two underrated pitchers. Justin Steele of the Cubs has been excellent this season, displaying strong numbers in terms of hard-hit rate, walk percentage, and advanced metrics. The Brewers’ struggling offense is unlikely to pose a significant challenge to Steele, who has allowed only three runs in his last four outings. On the other side, the Brewers’ Adrian Houser has been solid, allowing just nine runs in his last 22 innings pitched. With both pitchers performing well, we expect a tight, low-scoring game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Alternate Run Line -2.5 over Pittsburgh Pirates (+130) MLB
In the second leg of our parlay, we’re backing the Dodgers on an alternate run line. Although the Dodgers have had some inconsistent performances lately, their home series against the Pirates presents a favorable opportunity for them to bounce back. Bobby Miller, the Dodgers’ starter, had an impressive start to his Major League career, and we expect him to perform well against the Pirates’ weak offense. The Dodgers’ lineup should also provide consistent production, especially against Pirates starter Luis Ortiz, who has struggled in various pitching metrics. We anticipate a dominant victory for the Dodgers in this matchup.
Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Over 9.5 (-110) MLB
To complete our parlay, we’re choosing the over in the game between the Reds and Nationals. Tuesday’s game saw the over hit comfortably, and we expect a similar outcome in this matchup. The Reds have allowed a significant number of runs this season, and Graham Ashcraft, their starting pitcher, has struggled as well. The Nationals should enter the game with confidence against Ashcraft, who has given up multiple runs in several recent outings. While Josiah Gray of the Nationals has been solid, his underlying numbers suggest some regression may be on the horizon. With both teams capable of scoring runs, we anticipate a high-scoring game.
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