MLB Picks and Parlay 07-06-2023: Expert Bet
PHI Phillies vs TB Rays · Money Line TB Rays Win – MLB
The Phillies and Rays are set to play their second game on Wednesday afternoon. The Rays have cooled off after their strong start to the season, while the Phillies have been playing well and making their way into the playoff picture. The Phillies won 3-1 last night, but I believe the Rays will even the series.
The starting pitching matchup is underrated. Taijuan Walker takes the mound for the Phillies, having given up more than one run in a game since June 1st. The Phillies have won his last six starts. Yonny Chirinos has been solid for the Rays, aside from one game against the Royals. Chirinos usually follows an opener and rarely throws a high volume of pitches or innings. In typical Tampa fashion, he won’t face the lineup a third time.
While there isn’t a clear edge in this game, I have a hunch that the Rays will come out on top at home and even the series against the hot Philadelphia team.
Rays ML (-135)
BAL Orioles vs NY Yankees · Money Line NY Yankees Win – MLB
Both the Orioles and Yankees have struggled to find consistency recently. The Yankees have traded wins and losses, but they have a better stretch than the Orioles, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Orioles have dropped 6 out of their last 7 games, including losses to the Yankees in the first two games of the series. At the moment, the Yankees seem like the more reliable team.
Dean Kremer starts for the Orioles on Wednesday, coming off a forgettable outing against the Twins. Kremer has shown potential this season but is prone to giving up big runs. If he shows any vulnerability, the Yankees’ lineup can take advantage. The Yankees’ young starter, Randy Vasquez, is a bit of a question mark but has performed well in his two outings. The Yankees are on a good run, while the Orioles are sliding, making the Yankees the favorable pick.
Yankees ML (+105)
TEX Rangers @ BOS Red Sox · Game Totals Under 10.0 – MLB
The Rangers took game one of the series in Boston with a convincing win, and they have another solid right-hander, Jon Gray, starting on Wednesday night. Gray actually pitches better on the road than at home, with a 1.99 ERA and a .180 batting average allowed in road games. He has been fantastic away from Texas.
Brayan Bello, a young star in the making, starts for the Red Sox. Bello has been compared to Pedro Martinez and has been performing well recently with a 2.33 ERA in his last 11 starts. He has allowed more than two earned runs just once during that span. Bello’s advanced metrics back up his success, and he has been impressive in June. With Gray’s strong road performance and Bello’s recent excellence, I expect a low-scoring game in Boston.
Under 10 (-120)
CIN Reds vs WAS Nationals · Game Totals Over 9.5– MLB
In our analysis, we’re closing out our parlay with a pick for the over in the matchup between the Reds and Nationals. The over easily cashed in Tuesday’s game, and we anticipate a similar outcome on Wednesday based on the starting pitching matchup.
Cincinnati has allowed the fourth-most runs this season, and Graham Ashcraft has been one of the struggling pitchers for the Reds with a 6.66 ERA. His xERA and xBA percentiles are in the bottom 10, indicating his struggles. Ashcraft has also given up at least 6 runs in 5 of his last 10 outings, providing an opportunity for the Nationals to have confidence at the plate.
Josiah Gray, on the other hand, has performed well on paper for the Nationals this season. However, his xERA is significantly higher than his actual ERA, suggesting that regression may be on the horizon. This sets the stage for a potentially high-scoring game in Washington, D.C.
Let’s back the over in this matchup and expect an exciting offensive display.
Conclusion
In today’s MLB picks and parlay play, we recommend the Tampa Bay Rays to win against the Philadelphia Phillies, the New York Yankees to defeat the Baltimore Orioles, and the game between the Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox to go under 10 total runs. In the last MLB picks and parlay play, we recommend taking the over in the game between the Cincinnati Reds and Washington Nationals. Stay tuned for more thrilling MLB action.
Make sure to check out our full MLB and Sports Picks for more insights for today’s sports action.
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