MLB Picks and Parlay 08-21-2023: Expert Picks Today

Monday Best MLB Bet for today with FREE MLB Picks Predictions

Welcome to USA Best Bet for our 3 picks consolidated for a MLB Parlay of the day at +865 odds with

NL East Showdown: NY Mets vs. ATL Braves – Run Line Pick

USA Best Bet zeroes in on an NL East clash as the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves face off in the opening game of a 3-game series. The pitching matchup is a significant factor in this contest. David Peterson takes the mound for the Mets, while Allan Winans counters for the Braves. The disparity in their performances is striking. Peterson, after a rough start to the season, found himself moved to the bullpen and has struggled even in that role. His recent outings have been limited to around 3 innings, during which he has yielded 8 hits, 3 runs, and 11 walks.

On the other hand, Allan Winans has only made two MLB starts, yet he’s already demonstrated promising potential. Over two outings spanning 11.1 innings, Winans has given up only 2 runs and 9 hits, all while striking out an impressive 14 batters. In one of those starts, he went head-to-head with the same Mets team and dominated, pitching 7 scoreless innings with just 4 hits conceded and 9 strikeouts. Armed with a formidable changeup and slider, Winans has the advantage of facing a Mets lineup that has struggled to find their offensive rhythm in August. With this substantial mismatch on both the mound and at the plate, we’re backing Atlanta to cover the run line.

MLB Pick: Braves -1.5 (-115)

NL East Duel: SF Giants vs. PHI Phillies – Run Line Selection

A captivating NL East encounter awaits us in Atlanta, where the New York Mets take on the Atlanta Braves in the kickoff of their 3-game series. Pitching discrepancies come to the fore in this matchup. The Mets deploy David Peterson as their starter, while the Braves counter with Allan Winans. Peterson’s season has been marked by inconsistency, leading to his transition from the starting rotation to the bullpen and back. His recent outings have been restricted to around 3 innings, where he’s faced struggles, giving up 8 hits, 3 runs, and issuing 11 walks.

In contrast, Allan Winans, despite his limited MLB experience, has showcased remarkable promise. Over two starts spanning 11.1 innings, Winans has yielded a mere 2 runs and 9 hits while striking out an impressive 14 batters. Notably, one of these starts was against the same Mets team, where he delivered 7 scoreless innings with only 4 hits surrendered and 9 strikeouts. Backed by a potent changeup and slider, Winans faces a Mets lineup that has found it challenging to generate offense in August. With such a palpable mismatch on both the pitching mound and at the plate, our preference is for Atlanta to cover the run line.

MLB Pick: Braves -1.5 (-115)

AL Showdown: BOS Red Sox vs. HOU Astros – Money Line Choice

The Houston Astros welcome the Boston Red Sox for a 4-game series, with the Red Sox entering on a high note after sweeping the Yankees, while the Astros experienced a recent 3-game sweep by the Mariners. James Paxton will start for the Red Sox, boasting a 3.34 ERA through 16 starts with a 7-3 record. Paxton’s solid performance is highlighted by a 3.40 xERA, a 26.3% strikeout rate, and a 6.5% walk rate. He’ll face off against Cristian Javier, who holds a 4.49 ERA across 23 starts with an 8-2 record. While Javier’s performance has been less consistent than in the past, his impressive record underscores his capabilities.

Both teams possess potent offenses, with the Red Sox boasting a .433 SLG percentage (ranking 6th in the league) and the Astros sporting a .419 SLG (ranked 12th). Averaging 4.8 runs per game and each having hit the over in 4 of their last 5 games, these teams showcase their offensive prowess. Despite the intriguing offensive potential, the pitching matchup tempers our enthusiasm for the total. Instead, we focus on the Red Sox’s strong form, as they are 8-3 in their last 11 games and 4-2 in their last 6 games against Houston. On the flip side, the Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games and 1-4 in their last 5 home games. With the pitching situation in mind, we’re favoring the Red Sox to secure a road victory.

Red Sox ML (+115)

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