MLB Picks and Parlays Today 06-21-2023: Expert
Welcome to USA Best Bets Picks and Parlays, where our experts provide you with their top MLB picks for today’s games. We have analyzed the matchups and present our insights for the games between the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers, as well as the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees. Additionally, we have a repeat bet from the Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins series. Let’s dive into the analysis and expert analysis for each pick.
#1 MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers – Money Line: Detroit Tigers Win
Analysis:
The Tigers and Royals meet for the rubber match of their 3-game series. The Royals secured a rare win in the second game, but they are only slightly better than the last-place Athletics. The Tigers, despite their 31-40 record, are still within reach of the AL Central lead and need victories against teams like the Royals to stay in the division race. Matthew Boyd will start for the Tigers, boasting a 5.60 ERA through 13 starts with a 7-6 record. The Royals will counter with Brady Singer, who holds a 6.33 ERA through 14 starts with a 4-6 record. Both pitchers have struggled this season, but the offenses have also faced challenges. With the teams’ pitching struggles and average run production, the total runs scored is unpredictable. Therefore, we focus on the money line, where the Tigers hold a slight advantage. They have won 7 of the last 10 meetings between these teams and have shown signs of improvement with wins in 4 of their last 6 games. In contrast, the Royals have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 games and displaying poor performance on the road and as underdogs. The Tigers have a good opportunity to secure a victory at home and move up in the division standings.
MLB Expert Pick: Detroit Tigers ML (-125)
#2 MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees – Money Line: Seattle Mariners Win
Analysis:
In the second game of their series, the Seattle Mariners face the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The Mariners will send Luis Castillo to the mound, who has performed well this season despite a 4-5 record, largely due to a lack of run support. Castillo boasts an impressive 2.73 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. He ranks favorably in several key percentiles, such as xBA (76th), K% (87th), and BB% (71st). The Yankees’ offense has struggled recently, and Castillo presents a formidable challenge for them. Jhony Brito will start for the Yankees, but he has struggled this season with a 5.58 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, ranking below the 30th percentile in various categories. Given Brito’s difficulties and the matchup against the talented Castillo, we lean towards the Mariners to secure the win in this game.
MLB Expert Pick: Seattle Mariners ML (-165)
#3 MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins – Under 2.5 (-105)
Analysis:
In the Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins series, we have targeted the under 2.5 runs in the first 3 innings twice already, with a perfect 2-0 record. Despite the high-scoring overall games in the series, the first 3 innings have remained low-scoring. By focusing on the early stages of the game, we exploit the strength of the starting pitchers. Garrett Whitlock, who has shown improvement in recent starts, will take the mound for the Red Sox. In his last four outings, he has allowed only 4 runs in the first 3 innings. Sonny
Gray, one of Minnesota’s top pitchers, has been outstanding this season, particularly at home. He has given up just 3 runs in the first 3 innings over his last 10 starts. With both pitchers in solid form, we expect limited scoring and a high number of strikeouts. The first 3 innings total is once again set at 2.5 runs, making this bet an attractive option.
MLB Expert Pick: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins – Under 2.5 (-105)
Free Expert MLB Picks and Parlay Conclusion:
In today’s MLB picks, our experts have selected the Detroit Tigers to win against the Kansas City Royals, the Seattle Mariners to defeat the New York Yankees, and the under 2.5 runs in the first 3 innings of the Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins game. We hope these insights help you make informed decisions for your wagers. Good luck and enjoy the games!
Free Expert MLB Picks and Parlay Bet Conclusion:
For this Wednesday Night Baseball Same Game Parlay, we have selected the Yankees -1.5, Gerrit Cole over 6.5 strikeouts, and Tommy Pham to record a hit. While not all components are directly correlated, each play offers its own value within the context of the game. Let’s hope for another winning night and enjoy the Subway Series matchup!
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