Welcome to USA Best Bets for our experts free 2023 NBA Finals Betting report for Game 1: Miami Heat versus Denver Nuggets with a special Same Game Parlay Picks: Game 1 Focuses on Scoring at +629 Odds. Tonight’s matchup marks the first-ever NBA Finals appearance for the Denver Nuggets as they face the Miami Heat at Ball Arena with tip-off at 8:30 pm ET on ABC. Our best bet experts have prepared a Heat vs Nuggets Same Game Parlay for you to consider.
Free NBA Picks and Parlay Today
Be sure to bookmark our NBA Picks and Parlay page, as we provide picks and parlay selections for every NBA Finals matchup. So let’s jump into our experts free Same Game NBA Parlay (SGP) for today 06-01-2023.
#1 Free NBA Picks and Parlay: Over 219.5 Points (-110)
It’s refreshing to see a projected total of 219 points for a Miami Heat game, especially after their Game 7 against Boston, where the line was set at just 203.5 points. In their regular-season matchups, both teams surpassed 219 points in both games and five of their last seven meetings. Betting on the over has been profitable in their last five encounters, with an average of 231.2 points scored in the three most recent games. Although we might not witness such a high-scoring affair in the series opener due to playoff intensity and increased defensive effort, I anticipate a game in the mid-220s. Miami has gone over the total in 10 of their last 13 road games and in six consecutive games against Northwest Division opponents. Despite their extended break, the Nuggets possess a formidable offense, leading the postseason with an offensive rating of 119.7 points per 100 possessions, nearly three points better than the second-best team. Miami ranks fifth in overall offensive rating and third in road games.
Expert NBA Picks: Both teams to bring their offensive firepower, making the over an appealing bet.
#2 Free NBA Picks and Parlay: Nikola Jokic 1+ Made Threes (-310)
Nikola Jokic has been unstoppable throughout the postseason, averaging a triple-double and just under 30 points per game. His three-point shooting has been particularly impressive, with a 47.4% conversion rate, a significant improvement from his regular-season average of 38.3%. In 15 playoff games, Jokic has failed to make a three in only three contests, while scoring multiple threes in nine of them. Against Miami in the regular season, Jokic displayed efficiency, shooting 69% from the field and 66.7% from beyond the arc. With his size advantage over Bam Adebayo inside the paint, Jokic can also step outside and deliver from long range if the Heat defense focuses on limiting his interior scoring.
Expert NBA Picks: We expect Jokic to continue his hot shooting streak from deep.
#3 Free NBA Picks and Parlay: Duncan Robinson 2+ Made Threes (-150)
One statistical advantage that Miami brings to this series is their bench scoring. Throughout the postseason, they have averaged 35.6 points per game from their reserves, while the Nuggets trail behind with just 19.5 points per game. A key contributor to Miami’s bench scoring has been Duncan Robinson, who has stepped up in the absence of Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, and Gabe Vincent due to injuries. Robinson has made at least two threes in each of his last seven playoff games, shooting an impressive 48.4% from beyond the arc against Boston. In the first round against the Bucks, Robinson was also red-hot, averaging 2.8 made threes per game with a 73.7% efficiency. While he played in only one of the two regular-season games against Denver, he made three threes on 42.9% shooting. In his last six games against the Nuggets dating back to 2020, Robinson failed to make two threes in just one game, shooting at a 34% clip.
Expert NBA Picks: Expect Robinson to continue his strong three-point shooting and contribute to Miami’s scoring off the bench.
#4 Free NBA Picks and Parlay: Kyle Lowry Over 3.5 Assists (+108)
Since joining Miami, Kyle Lowry has faced the Nuggets three times, recording 4, 14, and 3 assists in those matchups. In Game 7 against the Celtics, Lowry showcased his experience and leadership, finishing with 7 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists while boasting the best +/- numbers for Miami at +26. Lowry’s experience in the NBA Finals, having won with the Toronto Raptors in 2019, will undoubtedly be an asset in this series. Throughout this postseason run, he has averaged 4.3 assists per game. Lowry exceeded this line in every game against the Knicks and achieved it in four of the seven games against Boston.
Expert NBA Picks: Considering the fatigue levels among the Heat starters, it’s likely that Lowry’s role will expand, leading to increased productivity. Let’s hope he delivers in Game 1.
Conclusion: Today’s 2023 NBA Finals Picks for Game 1
That concludes our breakdown of the 2023 NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets. Get ready for an intense series filled with excitement and memorable moments. Enjoy the games and good luck with your free expert NBA Picks today.
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