NHL Best Bet 05-25-2023: Playoff Picks and Parlay

Welcome to USA Best Bet, where our experts provide thrilling free NHL hockey betting picks and parlays for today, on 05-25-23. There is an exciting pair of elimination games in the NHL playoffs. The Florida Panthers have completed a remarkable 4-0 sweep over the Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL Eastern Finals, thanks to Matthew Tkachuk’s game-winning goal in the final seconds of regulation. The Panthers now await the winner of the Golden Knights vs Stars series in the Stanley Cup Finals. If you’re looking to place a wager on this game, check out our Golden Knights vs Stars Free Picks for our Same Game Parlay (NHL SGP) below.

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Expert Picks and Parlay Bet: Golden Knights vs Stars Game 4 Analysis

The Stars find themselves on the brink of elimination as they host the Golden Knights in Game 4, trailing 3-0 in the series. The game will start at 8:00 pm ET on ESPN. Read on for today’s NHL predictions.

#1 Free NHL Pick: Stars Win (-130)

We’re giving the Stars another chance, potentially for the last time this season. They have to be due for a win. Prior to this series, the Stars had not suffered consecutive losses since March 16th. From that date until the start of this series, the Stars boasted an impressive 9-0 record following a loss, with a +20 goal differential in those games. On average, they won by 2.22 goals in games following a loss. Dallas has shown resilience throughout the season, and their fate now depends on their ability to bounce back once again.

Although the series record may suggest domination by the Golden Knights, the Stars have been more competitive than it indicates. Games 1 and 2 went into overtime, and in Game 3, the Stars outshot the Golden Knights 34-16, including a staggering 23-6 advantage in the first period.

Expert NHL Picks Free: The Stars are on the cusp of turning things around.

#2 Free NHL Pick: Under 6.5 (-170)

In terms of game totals, Game 1’s total of 7 was an outlier in the Golden Knights vs Stars matchups, both in the regular season and playoffs. In their three regular-season meetings, these teams averaged just 4 goals per game, totaling 12 goals in total. Excluding Game 1, the average number of goals scored in Games 2 and 3 was 4.5. Taking into account all matchups, including the outlier, the average game total between these teams stands at 4.67. Therefore, the alternative under 6.5 looks like a safe option.

While safe bets don’t typically offer great value, the -170 odds for the higher alternative total under, as part of a +525 parlay, presents better value. If both teams stick to their averages, the total of 6.5 should not be in jeopardy.

Expert NHL Picks Free: The under has been a prominent trend in both teams’ regular season and playoff games, making it likely to continue.

#3 Free NHL Picks: Joe Pavelski Over 0.5 Goals (+180)

In sticking with the Stars, let’s also go back to Joe Pavelski’s goal-scoring prop. The Stars have no choice but to generate offense if they want to extend their season beyond Thursday. If they manage to muster enough offense to win Game 4, Joe Pavelski has an excellent chance of making an impact. According to Vegas odds, specifically DraftKings, he is the third most likely Stars player to score. Pavelski will be determined to be a factor in this elimination game.

Despite missing five games in these playoffs, Pavelski still ranks second on the team in goals and third in points. He may have been quiet recently, but relying purely on being due for a goal is not enough. However, any offense that the Stars have mustered in this series has largely come from their top line, which includes Pavelski. He is a highly skilled player with an impressive playoff track record, consistently playing alongside star players. Furthermore, he is no stranger to performing when his team’s back is against the wall.

Expert NHL Picks Free: The veteran forward should come out buzzing in this crucial game.

Expert Picks and NHL Parlay Conclusion 05-25-2023

There you have it, our NHL Golden Knights vs Stars Same Game Parlay picks for this pivotal Game 4. The Stars will be fighting to stay alive, and we believe they have what it takes to secure a victory. Additionally, we expect a relatively low-scoring game, keeping the total under 6.5. Lastly, keep an eye on Joe Pavelski to contribute with at least one goal in this elimination showdown. Best of luck with your wagers!