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USA Best Bets Today: Tennis Edition – U.S. Open Day 7 Picks

Quarterfinal spots at the U.S. Open are up for grabs as the action heats up on Sunday. Novak Djokovic, fresh from a grueling 5-set match with fellow Serb Laslo Djere, returns to the court. A cadre of American talents, including Tommy Paul, Ben Shelton, Frances Tiafoe, Taylor Fritz, and Coco Gauff, are set to shine.

Tennis Edition – U.S. Open Day 7 Picks: Hot Streak Alert

As we venture closer to the tournament’s crescendo, our picks are sizzling at the right moment. USA Best Bets boasts a red-hot 6-0 best bet streak, powered by a flawless 3-0 performance on both Friday and Saturday. Let’s dive into the top bets for Day 7 of the year’s fourth and final Grand Slam. Also, don’t miss our top outright bets for both the men’s and women’s draws.

Tennis Pick: Frances Tiafoe vs. Rinky Hijikata Over 34.5 Games (-107)

Tiafoe might be the heavy favorite, but there’s a case to be made for Hijikata to push this over a seemingly low total. Despite Tiafoe’s impressive 2022 U.S. Open semifinal run and glimpses of brilliance this season, his inconsistency is notable. The 10th-ranked American managed just one victory combined in Toronto and Cincinnati. It’s worth mentioning that he required a fourth-set tiebreaker to dispatch Adrian Mannarino on Friday.

On the flip side, Hijikata is enjoying a stellar season on tour, highlighted by a dominant 6-1, 6-2, 6-1 victory over Marton Fucsovics in round 2 of the U.S. Open. This Aussie even snatched a set from Rafael Nadal at Arthur Ashe stadium last summer. Given this, there’s no reason why Hijikata can’t steal at least one set from Tiafoe.

Tennis Pick: Jelena Ostapenko +6.5 Games Over Iga Swiatek (-132)

Prepare for a potential outright upset as Ostapenko faces Swiatek. While Swiatek predictably conquered the French Open again, her track record on hard courts raises questions. She faltered in the Wimbledon quarterfinals against Elina Svitolina and couldn’t secure wins in the hard-court Masters 1000 events in Montreal (lost to Jessica Pegula) and Cincinnati (lost to Coco Gauff).

Even if Swiatek were in formidable form, Ostapenko, known for her fearless approach, poses a significant challenge. She ranks among the tour’s finest ball-strikers and has the capacity to topple any opponent when she’s in her groove. Her performance at the fourth round in New York signals a player in peak form. Moreover, Ostapenko boasts an unexpected 3-0 lifetime record against Swiatek, with victories in 2017 (Birmingham), 2021 (Indian Wells), and 2022 (Dubai). The +6.5 games cushion should suffice for this underdog’s backers.

Tennis Pick: Tommy Paul vs. Ben Shelton Over 39 Games (-110)

A straightforward calculation suggests that this all-American showdown is primed to surpass the total game threshold. We need at least a four-set match, averaging ten games per set. A scoreline like 6-4, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 would fit the bill. Alternatively, three out of the four sets could be decided by just one break, with only one set reaching a tiebreaker (such as 6-3, 3-6, 7-6, 6-3).

Shelton, armed with a thunderous serve (he unleashed 26 aces in his previous match, including one rocketing at 147 MPH), is a formidable force. However, he’s not renowned for his returning skills, suggesting that breaks of serve will be infrequent. This dynamic should yield competitive scores in most sets, if not all. A reference point is the Australian Open quarterfinal clash earlier this season between Paul and Shelton, which featured a marathon 44 games (7-6, 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, in favor of Paul). Expect nothing less in what promises to be a day’s marquee matchup.

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